Products
Collective Reasoning Foresight Knowledge Agent Collective IQ
Company
Trust & Governance Results Developers Science

Track record

Proven in the categories where the evidence bar is highest.

Investment, defense, enterprise transformation, brand alignment, and institutional foresight. Each result below carries a real number and a one-line method note — what we measured and how.

71%
portfolio survival
vs. 38% industry baseline
Investment · Titan Fund

Startup success predicted at nearly 2× industry standard

CrowdSmart-guided investment decisions produced nearly twice the survival rate of comparable funds across an eight-year deployment. CrowdSmart-evaluated startups survived at 71% against a 38% Carta 2018 cohort baseline.

CrowdSmart
71%
Carta 2018 cohort
38%
Method: Identity-blind peer review of 21 companies by 30+ evaluators over seven years; Bayesian belief networks surfaced non-obvious risk. Outcome: follow-on funding / survival vs. Carta 2018 cohort baseline.
Cohort example · Syntiant

GCI co-created a leader in Edge AI — Syntiant

In 2017, CrowdSmart's collective evaluation scored Syntiant at 93% pROI — years before the market caught up. Today Syntiant has deployed 100M+ edge AI processors across four continents and is approaching a $1B valuation ahead of a planned 2027 IPO.

8.44×
projected return multiple
93%
pROI predicted in 2017
2017
CrowdSmart evaluation: 93% pROI. 30+ expert evaluators.
2019
Series B. Intel Capital, Microsoft M12 invest.
2023
$56.4M Series C. 100M processor deployments.
2024
$150M Knowles acquisition. NatSec100 listing.
2027
IPO track. ~$1B valuation.
Method: Same Titan evaluation protocol; pROI is the CrowdSmart collective probability of return on investment at the time of evaluation.
Accurate
and Reliable
Knowledge Agent
GLP-1 prediction
Prediction · GLP-1 · Knowledge Agents

Predictions with Knowledge Agents are accurate, trusted and transparent.

A diverse ensemble of document-grounded Knowledge Agents forecasted FDA approval of orforglipron (Foundayo) for obesity/overweight — and got it right when the decision resolved in April 2026. Every probability, citation, and disagreement stayed inspectable: accurate enough to compete with established prediction markets, transparent enough to trust.

Method: 12 Knowledge Agents across four corpus archetypes (clinical trialist, regulatory skeptic, base-rate forecaster, market analyst); peer-reviewed Collective Reasoning with evidence freeze before PDUFA resolution. Collective Brier score: 0.105 on the primary approval question; directional calls correct on the related extension and CRL questions.
10×
value vs. effort
at a $1.4B organization
Enterprise · Alera Group

Acelerated integration of acquired companies

Synthesized collective intelligence across dozens of acquired companies to align leadership on post-M&A integration strategy — surfacing shared priorities that no single executive team could have identified alone. Decision cycles went from weeks to hours. 500+ executives used CrowdSmart across HR, sales, and C-suite as Alera became the 12th-largest US independent insurance firm.

Method: Organization-wide Collective Reasoning with anonymous contributions; persistent models of institutional thinking evolved over successive sessions. Value-vs-effort scored by Alera leadership.
Rapid
alignment
stakeholder alignment
during brand refresh
Brand · Guitar Center

Stakeholder alignment during a brand refresh

Deployed the platform during a brand refresh to rapidly align stakeholders on a new strategic vision — the kind of transformational moment where internal alignment is the bottleneck.

Method: Structured Collective Reasoning across stakeholder groups; identity masking and blind peer ranking to surface shared priorities without politics.
Shared
foresight
collective vision
from diverse perspectives
Foresight · 90_10 Institute

Structured collective foresight at scale

Diverse perspectives were synthesized into an actionable shared vision — the kind of envisioning work that traditionally collapses past a dozen participants.

Method: Collective Reasoning Foresight sessions; relevance ranking and bridge propositions preserved constructive dissent while converging on a shared frame.

Same method. Different stakes.

Investing in innovation

Orchestrated 30+ evaluators simultaneously. Identity-blind peer review eliminated politics. Bayesian belief networks surfaced non-obvious risk.

Titan Fund · Syntiant

High-stakes prediction

Corpus-grounded Knowledge Agents deliberated with full provenance — citations, confidence, and disagreement preserved — then calibrated against a resolved FDA outcome.

GLP-1 · orforglipron

Organizational transformation

Unlimited participants, zero pre-training. Anonymous contributions created candor. Persistent models of institutional thinking evolved over time.

Alera Group · Guitar Center

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